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This Financial Stability Paper proposes enhancements to its analytical framework, focusing on three key areas: 𝗱𝗲𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗯𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲𝘀, 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁, and 𝗲𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘁𝗶𝗰𝘀. The paper suggests a more quantitative approach to the Financial Policy Committee's goals, a systematic way to identify and model financial shocks, and the development of a 𝗺𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗹𝗮𝗿 𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗰𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 to improve policy evaluation. This framework is intended to prepare for future challenges and serve as a basis for further discussion.
The 𝗘𝗜𝗢𝗣𝗔 has evaluated 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗽𝗼𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀, specifically within their 𝗢𝗥𝗦𝗔. The findings indicate that most insurers are now including both 𝗽𝗵𝘆𝘀𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸𝘀 in their ORSA, utilizing 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 more frequently to understand potential financial impacts. While progress has been made, challenges remain, such as 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀 𝗱𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 and a 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵-𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮. EIOPA aims to continue fostering 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻𝗰𝘆 and building capacity in this area.
This paper introduces CATALIST, a detailed sectoral model of the Spanish economy, to assess transitional risks from climate policies like carbon pricing. It reveals varied sectoral impacts, potential financial stability risks, and growth opportunities via smart tax revenue use, offering a versatile tool for policy and scenario analysis.
Climate change poses financial risks to institutions. Quantifying these risks is difficult, limiting mitigation efforts. Scenario analysis helps assess risks by extending macro-climate scenarios to asset-level analysis. Despite advancements, limitations remain in applying this approach to financial modeling.