The EBA's Q4 2024 Risk Dashboard shows EU/EEA banks maintaining strong performance. Return on equity rose to 10.5%, and return on assets reached 0.73%. Net interest margin declined slightly, but total income grew due to higher net fee and commission income. Loans to households and businesses increased, while cash balances fell. Non-performing loans decreased, except for commercial real estate. The CET1 ratio remained at 16.0%, reflecting strong capitalization. Liquidity and funding ratios stayed well above requirements. The loan-to-deposit ratio declined as deposits grew faster than loans. Overall, the banking sector remained stable and resilient.
The EBA published final draft ITS amending rules for internal model authorization under CRR, reflecting the EU Banking Package. Key changes include removing the use of internal models for operational risk (deleting AMA references) and updating references to supervisory college regulations. These ITS are based on CRR III amendments.
Increased cyber risk drives U.S. banks to diversify information sources, especially large, nationally chartered banks. This suggests cyber threats erode data confidence, forcing banks to seek verification. Specialized institutions are more vulnerable to data integrity disruptions.
The banking industry faces complex financial risks, including credit, market, and operational risks, requiring a clear understanding of the aggregate cost of risk. Advanced AI models complicate transparency, increasing the need for explainable AI (XAI). Understanding risk mathematics enhances predictability, financial management, and regulatory compliance in an evolving landscape.
This study integrates cybersecurity risks into a neoclassical growth model, revealing that proactive investments enhance long-term stability, while industry-specific vulnerabilities (capital-intensive resilience vs. labor-intensive disruptions) and systemic risks affect macroeconomic resilience. Optimal resource allocation, adaptive risk strategies via Bayesian updating, and prioritizing cybersecurity in long-term planning balance security with growth.
The EBA launched a consultation on four draft Regulatory Technical Standards for the EU's new AML/CFT regime, running until June 6, 2025. The RTSs cover AMLA's supervision criteria, ML/TF risk assessment methodology, customer due diligence requirements, and sanctions/administrative measures. These standards aim to harmonize and strengthen AML/CFT compliance across the EU.
This study finds that corporate digital transformation (CDT) reduces revenue volatility while enhancing financial stability, governance, and ESG performance. Smaller firms benefit more, but excessive digital investments increase operating risks. Stronger infrastructure, IP protection, and digital taxation improve CDT’s effectiveness, ensuring risk reduction without compromising performance or growth potential.
This study analyzes financial risk management in digital-only banking using quantitative methods. Phishing (35%) and ransomware (20%) cause major financial losses. Basel III compliance reduces fraud risks, while AI-driven fraud monitoring has inefficiencies. Regulatory enforcement improves fraud prevention by 1.90%, highlighting the need for stronger cybersecurity and regulatory measures.
This work presents a framework for constructing elicitable risk measures with properties like monotonicity, translation invariance, and convexity using multiplicative scoring functions. It defines necessary conditions for these properties and provides a method for developing new elicitable functionals, with applications in finance, statistics, and machine learning.
The European Commission’s new proposals aim to simplify EU rules, reduce administrative burdens by 25% (35% for SMEs), and boost competitiveness. Targeting sustainable finance, due diligence, and carbon mechanisms, they could save €6.3 billion annually and unlock €50 billion in investments, fostering growth while supporting climate goals.