163 résultats pour « riskmanagement »

The Road Less Travelled: Keynes and Knight on Probability and Uncertainty

"The possibilities of a Keynesian-Knightian synthesis as a way forward are considered by comparing these signposts. It is argued that, although there is some common ground between Knight and Keynes, there are fundamental differences particularly associated with Keynes’s concept of weight of argument."

Ensemble distributional forecasting for insurance loss reserving

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"... different loss reserving models specialise in capturing different aspects of loss data. This is recognised in practice in the sense that results from different models are often considered, and sometimes combined. For instance, actuaries may take a weighted average of the prediction outcomes from various loss reserving models, often based on subjective assessments."

Δ−CoES

"For regulators, risk managers and market participants these properties are interesting from an economic standpoint when they require the increased sensitivity and heterogeneity of the Δ-CoES to set short-term capital requirements/risk limits, find problematic financial linkages, problematic financial institutions or have some kind of early warning system for the emergence of systemic risk."

A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate‑Extended Risk Model (CERM)

"These parameters can be calibrated using public data. This new approach means not only to evaluate climate risks without picking any specific scenario but also allows to fill the gap between current one year approach of regulatory and economic capital models and the necessarily long-term view of climate risks by designing a framework to evaluate the resulting credit loss on each step (typically yearly) of the transition path. This new approach could prove instrumental in the 2022 context of central banks weighing the pros and cons of a climate capital charge."