801 résultats pour « Autre »

Machine, Personal, Sensitive Data & AI: Interplay of PETs & GDPR

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"By employing Big Data and Artificial Intelligence (AI), personal data that is categorized as sensitive data according to the GDPR Art. 9 can often be extracted. Art. 9(1) GDPR initially forbids this kind of processing. Almost no industrial control system functions without AI, even when considering the broad definition of the EU AI Regulation (EU AI Regulation-E)."

The Probability Conflation: A Reply

"We respond to Tetlock et al. (2022) showing 1) how expert judgment fails to reflect tail risk, 2) the lack of compatibility between forecasting tournaments and tail risk assessment methods (such as extreme value theory). More importantly, we communicate a new result showing a greater gap between the properties of tail expectation and those of the corresponding probability."

Artificial Intelligence Technologies within the Risk‑based Audit Approach

"This study proposes a comprehensive method (with representative AI-Technologies as a data basis) for the structured and targeted categorization and classification of AI under the risk-based audit approach. Initial feedback received by AI-Experts regarding the design and development of the artifact is collected. With the developed method, the study contributes to the descriptive and prescriptive knowledge base regarding the categorization and classification of AI within the auditing and accounting profession."

Bayesian Model Selection and Prior Calibration for Structural Models in Economic Experiments

"Bayesian estimates from experimental data can be influenced by highly diffuse or "uninformative" priors. This paper discusses how practitioners can use their own expertise to critique and select a prior that (i) incorporates our knowledge as experts in the field, and (ii) achieves favorable sampling properties. I demonstrate these techniques using data from eleven experiments of decision-making under risk, and discuss some implications of the findings."

The Information Value of Past Losses in Operational Risk

"We show that past operational losses are informative of future losses, even after controlling for a wide range of financial characteristics. We propose that the information provided by past losses results from them capturing hard to quantify factors such as the quality of operational risk controls, the risk culture, and the risk appetite of the bank."

Aggregating heavy‑tailed random vectors: from finite sums to Lévy processes

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"... we study the behavior of the asymptotic tail distribution of independent sums of heavy-tailed random vectors under the paradigm of multivariate regular variation. Assessment of such tail probabilities are of interest in risk management for many finance, insurance, queueing, and environmental applications. Multidimensional tail events are often characterized by at least one variable exceeding a high threshold, and the asymptotic probability of such events follow the so-called “one large jump” principle..."

Macroprudential policies and climate risks

"Insights from scenario analysis may help inform the use of ‘hard’ macroprudential tools to foster the robustness and resilience of the banking system against climate-induced shocks. Against the backdrop of the ongoing reform of the EU’s macroprudential framework, the paper explores how the macroprudential toolkit could be adjusted to the reality of climate-related financial risks."

Do Insurers Use Internal Capital Markets to Manage Regulatory Scrutiny Risk?

"… almost 50 percent of insurers at risk of facing additional regulatory scrutiny due to failing four Insurance Regulatory Information System (IRIS) ratios received sufficient internal capital to avoid enhanced regulation. Moreover, the likelihood and extent of internal capital allocation are related to regulatory scrutiny risk and the amount of capital allocated is typically just enough to avoid regulatory scrutiny."