1 résultat pour « Choquet integrals »
This research addresses the critical challenge of model ambiguity in insurance, where the true probabilities of losses are uncertain. It introduces randomly distorted Choquet integrals, a novel mathematical tool for creating flexible and dynamic risk measures. This provides a formal, unified methodology to resolve expert disagreements by extending industry-standard metrics like Value at Risk (VaR) and Average Value at Risk (AVaR). The framework allows a decision-maker to synthesize divergent opinions—whether on key parameters like a VaR confidence level or on the fundamental risk model itself (e.g., VaR vs. AVaR)—into a single, coherent, and scenario-dependent assessment.