Generative AI and the Workforce: What Are the Risks?

This paper finds that 38.9% of tasks in jobs involve large language models, with 80% of workers spending 20% of their time on such tasks.Its mapping of risk exposure shows that LLMs directly expose 12.4% of tasks to privacy risks, 13.7% to cybersecurity risks, 13.6% to breach in professional standards risks, 14.1% to unethical or harmful bias risks, 10.6% to misinformation and manipulation risks, 26.4% to safety and physical harm risks, 26% to liability and accountability risks and 9.8% to intellectual property risks.

On Risk Management of Mortality and Longevity Capital Requirement: A Predictive Simulation Approach

In the insurance sector, life insurers must meet capital requirements to avoid insolvency risks, especially during events like the COVID-19 pandemic. Risk management and risk mitigation are crucial. This paper presents an efficient simulation method, a thin-plate regression spline, as an alternative to nested simulations, to explore hedging strategies using mortality-linked securities and stochastic mortality dynamics. The results justify the use of mortality-linked securities in risk management and risk mitigation for capital associated with mortality and longevity.

Natural Disaster Risk and Firm Performance: Text Mining and Machine Learning Approach

Advanced #machinelearning models were found to be more effective than #linearregression in predicting firm performance under #naturaldisaster #risks. The study suggests that textual data in #financialreports can be used to measure the perceived natural disaster risk and predict its effects on firm performance.

Evolution of Cybersecurity Disclosure

#regulators recently issued #cybersecurity #disclosure guidelines to enhance #transparency and #accountability among firms. A study analyzed cybersecurity disclosure practices among a sample of Toronto Stock Exchange firms over seven years. Findings indicate a notable increase in disclosure after 2017 guidance by #canadian Securities Administrators. However, improvements are needed, especially in #governance and #riskmitigation disclosure. This study sheds light on policy's impact on cybersecurity transparency.

Deep Semi‑Supervised Anomaly Detection for Finding Fraud in the Futures Market

"#frauddetection is overwhelmingly associated with the greater field of #anomalydetection, which is usually performed via unsupervised learning techniques because of the lack of labeled data needed for #supervisedlearning. However, a small quantity of labeled data does often exist. This research article aims to evaluate the efficacy of a deep semi-supervised anomaly detection technique, called Deep SAD, for detecting #fraud in high-frequency #financialdata."

A Duality Between Utility Transforms and Probability Distortions

This paper presents a fundamental #mathematical duality linking utility transforms and #probability distortions, which are vital in #decisionmaking under #risk. It reveals that these concepts are characterized by commutation, allowing for simple axiomatization with just one property. Additionally, rank-dependent utility transforms are further characterized under monotonicity conditions.