"... we propose a reverse stress testing framework for dynamic models. Specifically, we consider a compound Poisson process over a finite time horizon and stresses composed of expected values of functions applied to the process at the terminal time. We then define the stressed model as the probability measure under which the process satisfies the constraints and which minimizes the KullbackLeibler divergence to the reference compound Poisson model."
“... we provide evidence that setting the risk-weighted ratio at 15\% and the simple leverage ratio at 10% would significantly decrease the probability of default without hampering banks' activities.”
The study investigated how ChatGPT and Bard categorize investor risk profiles compared to financial advisors. While there were no significant differences in the risk scores assigned by the chatbots an
The paper suggests that companies developing high-risk AI systems should demonstrate their safety before deployment, arguing for proactive risk management. It proposes a risk management approach where