"Decision theory, both orthodox and behavioural, depicts decision rather narrowly as a prioritisation task undertaken within a delineated problem space where the probabilities “sum to one”. From such a perspective, certain perennial challenges in intelligence and counterintelligence appear resolvable when in fact they are not, at least not when approached from the usual direction."
"Private businesses are making actuarial decisions, assessing that some locations are just too vulnerable to insure. At the same time, this insurance retreat also poses a policy challenge for states a
New estimators for generalized tail distortion (GTD) risk measures are proposed, based on first-order asymptotic expansions, offering simplicity and comparable or better performance than existing meth
Cyber risk presents significant challenges to society, yet its statistical behavior remains insufficiently understood. This paper analyzes three databases to study cyber risk dynamics. It identifies i